Next time you're on a trans-Atlantic flight and you experience sudden bad turbulence, remember that climate change is making such turbulence worse.

New 'stripes' showing the increase in moderate clear air turbulence in the Atlantic since 1979 using ERA5.

Bloomberg has published an editorial saying 'China & India Should Kick Their Coal Habit'. Someone tell them the U.S. emits more tonnes of CO2 from oil in a year than India does from coal. Lot of people need to get their climate arguments right. CO2 is the problem; not just coal

How much could CDR demand (for offsets) be reduced while still achieving deep mitigation?
A new study in Environmental Research Letters found that by targeting sectors with the largest emissions reduction potential, CDR reliance could be reduced by 50%: iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…

By targeting sectors with the largest potential for emissions reduction at net-zero, including ruminant agriculture, transportation, heavy industry, & potential new emissions sources under a low-carbon economy, CDR could be reduced by approximately 50%.

linkedin.com/posts/jay-fuhr…

Print this figure out and put it on your wall.

Top. Residual emissions with a global carbon price

Middle & Bottom. Residual emissions when you actually try to reduce them...

iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…

2020: Microsoft sets goal to be carbon negative by end of the decade.

2023: Microsoft's emissions are 30% higher than in 2020.

Main cause? The relentless push to meet AI demand, which requires carbon-intensive steel, cement, chips.

Story with Dina Bass: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

This new paper by a top notch team of scientists finds that a scenario with very high levels of technological and behavioral ambition across sectors to reduce net GHG emissions could reduce the need for CDR offsetting by a factor of 2👍
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…

🌎 New paper🌎
Finally, the paper you've all been waiting for: for once, GCAM modeling scenarios NOT relying heavily on CO2 removal, and instead reducing emissions everywhere else.

👇Thread by lead author Jay Fuhrman
linkedin.com/posts/jay-fuhr…

👇Paper
iopscience.iop.org/article/10.108…

A very cool booklet of infographics & information on climate change, faktaoklimatu.cz

factsonclimate.org/atlas

What is the current level of global warming:
* 1.2°C average of the last 10 years
* 1.3°C last datapoint in the 15 year trend
* 1.5°C last datapoint unadjusted (in one dataset)

Great figure, amongst many others, open for peer review:
essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd…

I had to weigh in on the kerfuffle over the Damian Carrington Guardian article—and I did it in this week's End Climate Silence newsletter, where I lay out three kinds of 'doomism' & how to deal with them in your #climate communications.

Cameos by
Prof Michael E. Mann
Glen Peters
Zeke Hausfather

I wonder where the responds get the data for this?

Did IPCC assess literature on emission reductions for voting, protesting, less children, etc?

For the IPCC junkies out there...

We have 10 articles on improving the IPCC in our npj Climate Action Special Collection.

Get reading: nature.com/collections/gf…

SSP3 & SSP4 supposedly bring in equity though 'challenges to adaptation', but when comparing 'historical responsibility' from 2100 based on different scenarios, we found very little variation across SSPs (left), models were mode important.

link.springer.com/article/10.100…

The Guardian summarized this survey this way: “77% of climate scientists expect a rise of at least 2.5C.” They could equally have summarized it “85% expect a rise of 3C or less.” By far the most common replies were 2C, 2.5C, and 3C—right in line with conventional models.