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With the caveat that Justice Barrett is sometimes less predictable based on argument than her colleagues, this strikes me as most likely to be correct—especially that this likely comes down to Roberts, who was quite coy during today’s arguments.

Extremely Trumpy move to listen to Dreeben's meticulous eyeglasses-pushed-up, deep-in-the-weeds, fabulously informed and nuanced discussion of presidential power and say...yeah, no need to respond.