Prob the most striking finding was that the 2nd-best predictor of being a Biden 2020/Trump 2024 swing voter (after being young) was being a non-white parent of a child under 18. V big effect size on a solid sample (2K weighted non-white parents, ~200 Biden-Trump flippers). 7/n

We all talk about race, but the best single predictor of voting intention in our survey is religion. (Most voters are white, and race doesn't tell you anything about white voters’ preferences.) For white, Hispanic, and Asian voters, the more important u say religion is to u 4/x

The Princeton Gerrymandering Project and Electoral Innovation Lab seek Interns and Fellows! If you're an undergraduate or graduate student interested in democracy, come to Princeton this summer. Use your science & policy smarts to make a difference. bit.ly/EIL2024

The point is: the price of this meme stock is *not* set by supply and demand, at least not in the naive sense. It's set by the arcane rules of the market. In particular, 'borrow fees' can slow down changes in price - and even bounces in 'wrong' directions. meidastouch.com/news/this-indi…

Here, what both liberal and conservative media are missing: the weird borrow fee structure of the stock market keeps DJT’s stock price up, penalizing both long and short investors. meidastouch.com/news/opinion-t…

How the stock market can act, in a relatively efficient manner, to act as a conduit for foreign money to bypass campaign finance restrictions.

of SPACs, meme stocks, and DJT: meidastouch.com/news/opinion-d…

In legal filings today, Camden County Dems say that office block ballots will 'lead to voter confusion and potentially voter disenfranchisement.'

This is what the Camden County Dem primary ballot from 2021 looked like.

Cornel West's running mate may be able to compete for RFK Jr voters twitter.com/DocMellyMel/st…

Longer 4K video of the Solar Eclipse 2024 from space - filmed from our satellite. #Eclipse2024

Don't sleep on this: *2* state justices who just voted to make all abortion illegal in Arizona are on the ballot this year.

They're each up for retention, as I had detailed here last week: boltsmag.org/your-state-by-…

PHOENIX (AP) — Arizona can enforce 1864 law criminalizing all abortions except those to save mother’s life, state Supreme Court rules.

The House Majority PAC just announced a record $146 million in fall TV reservations to flip the House, but they're listed by media market. So which districts are they targeting? We've got you covered dailykos.com/stories/2024/4…

Special Counsel Jack Smith: 'A President’s alleged criminal scheme to overturn an election and thwart the peaceful transfer of power to his lawfully elected successor is the paradigmatic example of conduct that should not be immunized'

Four GOP congressional candidates have asked to intervene in Andy Kim's case that just barred the use of New Jersey's 'county line.' The judge said his ruling only applied to the Dem primary; intervenors want it to apply to the GOP primary, too storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.usco…

More than half of New Jersey counties will use Dem primary ballots giving candidates an equal footing, rejecting the party-favorite 'county line' design.

Hear Senate candidate Andy Kim's lawyer Yael Bromberg on this lawsuit tipping point Bloomberg Law
news.bloomberglaw.com/litigation/mom…

I could look at this chart forever. Every row and column is a story; even some individual entries.

Yeah, this is total BS. Republicans held their 2020 convention weeks after the declaration deadline in Ohio and Frank LaRose raised no issue for Trump appearing on the ballot then.

If LaRose seriously tries to block Biden from the ballot, federal courts will eat him for lunch.